Fantasy Football
“🎲Tight End 2 Gambles 18. Chig Okonkwo 19. Brenton Strange 20. Dallas Goedert 21. Darren Waller 22. Zach Ertz 23. Cade Otton 24. Pat Freiermuth 25. Mason Taylor This is the point where you take 2 and stream, hoping for luck deep in the draft rounds 13+”
What Would Make This True
Take is TRUE if selecting 2 TEs in rounds 13-25 and streaming afterwards outperforms drafting more TEs earlier or relying on single TE pick. Take is FALSE if this strategy underperforms taking 3+ TEs in earlier rounds or if TE scarcity makes this risky.
35
Boldness
52/100
Accuracy
Verdict
DIRECTIONALLY RIGHTThe core strategy of treating TEs 18–25 as a gamble tier proved partially correct: Goedert was the clear outlier, finishing as a top-6 TE with a career-high 11 TDs and 60 catches — far too good to be treated as a late-round streamer. Waller (6 TDs in 9 games, IR'd) and Strange (46 catches, 540 yards, 3 TDs in 12 games) showed boom/bust gamble value as predicted. However, several others disappointed even by streamer standards: Ertz tore his ACL in Week 14 (50/504/4 but then gone), Otton had zero TDs through most of the season (59 catches, 572 yards, 1 TD), Freiermuth finished TE24 (41/486/4 in a crowded Pittsburgh room), Mason Taylor ended as a TE32-35 with a neck injury ending his season after Week 13 (44/369/1), and Okonkwo ranked TE22 with only 2 TDs. The prediction was right that this tier required streaming luck, but misidentified Goedert as belonging here and underestimated how injury- and disappointment-prone the group would be as a whole.